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NotesHistory (2028+) HLTopic 13.12Cold War Europe — origins and divided Germany
Back to History (2028+) HL Topics
13.12.14 min read

Cold War Europe — origins and divided Germany (History (2028+) HL)

IB History (first exams 2028) • Unit 13

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Contents

  • Why did allies become enemies? The origins of the Cold War
  • Stalin, Truman and the Marshall Plan — the breakdown by 1949
  • Germany divided: Blockade, Wall and two ways of life

In May 1945, the USA, Britain and the USSR had just crushed Nazi Germany together. Within four years, those same allies were glaring at each other across a divided continent. This section explains that fast, dangerous shift — and why historians still argue over who was really to blame.

Cause and consequence: an alliance built to fail: The wartime alliance was always a marriage of convenience — a capitalist West and a communist USSR united only by a common enemy. Once Hitler was defeated, the glue disappeared and old suspicions resurfaced fast.
  • Ideological differences — the USA wanted democracy, free elections and open markets across Europe; the USSR wanted friendly communist governments on its border to prevent another invasion like 1941. Each side saw the other's system as a threat to its own security.
  • Yalta and Potsdam (Feb & Jul-Aug 1945) — at Yalta, Stalin, Roosevelt and Churchill agreed on 'free elections' in Eastern Europe, but interpreted this promise very differently. By Potsdam, Roosevelt had died and Truman — far more suspicious of Stalin — was in charge, and the tone had already hardened.
  • Poland as the flashpoint — Stalin installed a communist-dominated government in Poland instead of holding genuinely free elections, breaking the Yalta promise in the West's eyes. To Stalin, a friendly Poland was non-negotiable — it was the invasion corridor Germany had used twice.
  • 'Percentages agreement' (Oct 1944) — Churchill and Stalin had informally divided influence in the Balkans (e.g. 90% Soviet influence in Romania, 90% British in Greece), showing both sides already thought in terms of spheres of influence rather than shared democracy.

By 1946-47, each side's actions confirmed the other's fears. The USSR tightened its grip on Eastern Europe; the West responded with policies designed to stop communism spreading further — and each response provoked a harder reaction.

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Stalin's position

  • Wanted a buffer zone of friendly states between the USSR and Germany after losing 27 million citizens in WWII
  • Saw Western economic aid to Europe as an attempt to rebuild capitalism and pull Eastern Europe out of Soviet influence
  • Believed communism and capitalism could not co-exist long-term — conflict was inevitable eventually
  • Acted defensively in his own view: securing borders, not planning world conquest

Truman's position

  • Believed Soviet actions in Poland, Romania and Bulgaria proved Stalin would not honour free-election promises
  • Announced the Truman Doctrine (March 1947): the US would support 'free peoples' resisting communist takeover, starting with Greece and Turkey
  • Saw communism as an expansionist ideology that had to be actively contained, not appeased
  • Acted assertively in his own view: defending democracy, not provoking war
The historical debate: who started it?: Orthodox view: Stalin was the aggressor — an expansionist dictator breaking his Yalta promises. Revisionist view: US economic interests (needing open markets for trade) and atomic-bomb confidence pushed Washington to provoke confrontation. Post-revisionist view: both sides reacted defensively to genuine security fears, and misunderstanding — not pure aggression on one side — drove the escalation. A strong Paper-3 essay should weigh more than one of these.

Economic factors mattered just as much as ideology. Europe in 1947 was a wreck — cities in ruins, harvests failed, currencies worthless. Truman's advisers feared that desperate, starving people would turn to communism out of hunger, not conviction.

1

Marshall Plan announced (June 1947)

US Secretary of State George Marshall offers $13 billion in aid to rebuild any European economy, including the USSR — genuinely open to all, but designed around free-market recovery.

2

Stalin refuses and forbids satellites

Stalin sees the plan as a trojan horse for US economic control over Europe. He rejects it and forbids Poland, Czechoslovakia and other Eastern Bloc states from accepting it.

3

Cominform created (Sept 1947)

Stalin sets up the Communist Information Bureau to tighten Soviet control over Eastern European communist parties, coordinating them against the 'threat' of Marshall aid.

4

Europe splits into two economic blocs

Sixteen Western states join the Marshall Plan and prosper; Eastern Europe is locked into Soviet-controlled trade instead. The economic Iron Curtain now matches the political one.

Marshall offers, Stalin refuses, Cominform tightens, Europe splits — economics hardened the divide as much as ideology did.

Don't treat causes as separate boxes: Ideology, personalities (Stalin/Truman) and economics (Marshall Plan) are usually taught separately — but in a real essay, link them. Truman's ideological suspicion of Stalin shaped how he read Soviet actions in Poland; the Marshall Plan was simultaneously an economic and an ideological move. Strong answers show how factors reinforced each other.

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No country felt the Cold War more directly than Germany. Defeated in 1945, it was carved into four zones of occupation — American, British, French and Soviet — and became the place where East and West collided most sharply, not once but twice.

The Berlin Blockade, 1948-49

In June 1948, the Western powers merged their zones and introduced a new currency, the Deutschmark, to kickstart economic recovery — including in West Berlin, an island of Western control deep inside the Soviet zone. Stalin saw this as a direct provocation, a step toward a strong, permanently divided Germany allied with the West.

Stalin's gamble: Stalin cut all road, rail and canal access to West Berlin, hoping to starve the Western sectors out and force the Allies to abandon the city. Instead, the US and Britain launched the Berlin Airlift, flying in food and coal around the clock for eleven months. Stalin lifted the blockade in May 1949 rather than risk shooting down Allied planes and starting a war he could not win.

The blockade backfired badly for Stalin. It hardened Western resolve, sped up the creation of NATO (April 1949), and directly triggered the formal split of Germany into two states that same year: the Federal Republic of Germany (West, capitalist democracy) and the German Democratic Republic (East, one-party communist state).

The Berlin Wall, 1961

For twelve years after 1949, Berlin remained an open crack in the Iron Curtain. Between 1949 and 1961, roughly 2.7 million East Germans — often young, skilled, and educated — simply walked across to the West through Berlin, since the rest of the inner-German border was already sealed with fences and minefields.

  • The 'brain drain' crisis — East Germany's economy was bleeding doctors, engineers and teachers. Leader Walter Ulbricht warned Khrushchev that the GDR could collapse if the exodus continued.
  • Khrushchev's ultimatum (1958-61) — Khrushchev demanded the West withdraw from Berlin entirely, threatening to hand control to East Germany if they refused; the crisis dragged on for three years without resolution.
  • The Wall goes up (13 August 1961) — East German troops sealed the border overnight with barbed wire, soon rebuilt in concrete. It stopped the exodus almost instantly but became the era's starkest symbol of communist failure — a state that had to imprison its own people to survive.
  • Kennedy's response — the US accepted the Wall rather than risk war over it, showing both superpowers now preferred a stable, managed division of Germany to actual confrontation.
West Germany (FRG)East Germany (GDR)
Economy'Economic miracle' (Wirtschaftswunder) — rapid growth, consumer goods, Marshall Plan aidState-planned economy; slower growth; chronic shortages of consumer goods
PoliticsMulti-party democracy under Konrad Adenauer and successorsOne-party rule (SED) under Ulbricht then Honecker; secret police (Stasi) surveillance
Society & cultureGrowing individualism, Western pop culture, protest movements (e.g. 1968 student unrest)State-organised youth groups (FDJ), collective values, censored media, but free childcare and guaranteed jobs
Freedom of movementFree travel; open borders with Western EuropeTravel restricted to other communist states; the Wall physically prevented emigration

It's easy to paint East Germany as purely grim and the West as purely free — but Paper-3 essays reward nuance. Many East Germans genuinely valued job security, low-cost housing and gender equality in the workplace, even while resenting the lack of political freedom and constant Stasi surveillance.

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