#1 Most Tested
Topic 2.5 High Priority
Exponential and Sinusoidal Models
Appeared 133 times in recent past papers (Total: 313 marks). Last seen in 2026.
100%
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IB Math AI Predicted Topics 2026
IB Math AI is one of the most pattern-predictable maths courses: trigonometry, statistics, financial maths, and modelling appear again and again. Use the SL/HL toggle below to rank topics by past-paper frequency and lock in the matching GDC workflows before exam day.
Switch between SL and HL rankings below.
Forecast snapshot
November 2026 Exam Countdown
46days
until exam
38
Ranked topics
5
paper forecasts
IB Exam Timetable 2026
Plan your final revision sprint around the official Math AI exam dates.
Top Predicted Topics
Topic 4.11 High Priority
Chi-Squared Test for Independence
Appeared 116 times in recent past papers (Total: 229 marks). Last seen in 2026.
87%
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Topic 3.2
Trigonometry: Right and Non-Right Triangles
Appeared 91 times in recent past papers (Total: 284 marks). Last seen in 2026.
68%
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Topic 3.1
Volumes and Surface Areas of 3D Shapes
Appeared 88 times in recent past papers (Total: 244 marks). Last seen in 2026.
66%
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Topic 4.3
Measures of Spread and Outliers
Appeared 52 times in recent past papers (Total: 152 marks). Last seen in 2026.
39%
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Topic 4.6
Venn Diagrams and Combined Events
Appeared 49 times in recent past papers (Total: 124 marks). Last seen in 2026.
37%
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Topic 1.3
Geometric Sequences and Series
Appeared 45 times in recent past papers (Total: 132 marks). Last seen in 2026.
34%
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Topic 4.9
Normal Distribution
Appeared 44 times in recent past papers (Total: 107 marks). Last seen in 2026.
33%
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Topic 4.8
Binomial Distribution
Appeared 43 times in recent past papers (Total: 117 marks). Last seen in 2026.
32%
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Topic 2.2
Functions: Domain and Range
Appeared 41 times in recent past papers (Total: 76 marks). Last seen in 2025.
31%
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Topic 1.2
Arithmetic Sequences and Series
Appeared 40 times in recent past papers (Total: 101 marks). Last seen in 2026.
30%
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Topic 1.7
Amortisation and Annuities
Appeared 40 times in recent past papers (Total: 129 marks). Last seen in 2026.
30%
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Topic 5.7
Kinematics
Appeared 39 times in recent past papers (Total: 106 marks). Last seen in 2026.
29%
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Topic 5.5
Integration and Antiderivatives
Appeared 39 times in recent past papers (Total: 130 marks). Last seen in 2026.
29%
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Topic 4.4
Cumulative Frequency and Box Plots
Appeared 36 times in recent past papers (Total: 71 marks). Last seen in 2026.
27%
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Topic 4.2
Measures of Central Tendency
Appeared 34 times in recent past papers (Total: 74 marks). Last seen in 2026.
26%
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Topic 5.3
Increasing, Decreasing and Stationary Points
Appeared 33 times in recent past papers (Total: 71 marks). Last seen in 2026.
25%
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Topic 3.4
Circle arc length and area of sector (degrees)
Appeared 32 times in recent past papers (Total: 100 marks). Last seen in 2026.
24%
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Topic 1.5
Introduction to Exponents and Logarithms
Appeared 32 times in recent past papers (Total: 73 marks). Last seen in 2026.
24%
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Topic 4.10
Spearman's Rank Correlation
Appeared 31 times in recent past papers (Total: 65 marks). Last seen in 2025.
23%
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Topic 2.1
Linear Models
Appeared 31 times in recent past papers (Total: 80 marks). Last seen in 2025.
23%
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Topic 1.6
Laws of Exponents and Logarithms
Appeared 29 times in recent past papers (Total: 66 marks). Last seen in 2026.
22%
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Topic 4.1
Types of Data and Sampling
Appeared 29 times in recent past papers (Total: 62 marks). Last seen in 2026.
22%
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Topic 1.8
Technology methods for linear and polynomial systems
Appeared 28 times in recent past papers (Total: 70 marks). Last seen in 2026.
21%
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Topic 4.7
Discrete Probability Distributions
Appeared 27 times in recent past papers (Total: 65 marks). Last seen in 2026.
20%
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Topic 3.5
Line intersections and perpendicular bisectors
Appeared 25 times in recent past papers (Total: 87 marks). Last seen in 2026.
19%
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Topic 3.6
Voronoi diagrams
Appeared 24 times in recent past papers (Total: 48 marks). Last seen in 2026.
18%
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Topic 1.4
Compound Interest and Depreciation
Appeared 22 times in recent past papers (Total: 63 marks). Last seen in 2026.
17%
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Topic 2.6
Regression and Interpolation
Appeared 23 times in recent past papers (Total: 42 marks). Last seen in 2026.
17%
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Topic 2.4
Quadratic Functions and Models
Appeared 21 times in recent past papers (Total: 37 marks). Last seen in 2026.
16%
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Topic 4.5
Probability Fundamentals
Appeared 20 times in recent past papers (Total: 43 marks). Last seen in 2026.
15%
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Topic 2.3
Transformations of Graphs
Appeared 19 times in recent past papers (Total: 41 marks). Last seen in 2026.
14%
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Topic 5.8
Trapezoid rule
Appeared 19 times in recent past papers (Total: 53 marks). Last seen in 2026.
14%
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Topic 5.6
Area Under a Curve
Appeared 16 times in recent past papers (Total: 42 marks). Last seen in 2026.
12%
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Topic 3.3
Applications of Trigonometry
Appeared 15 times in recent past papers (Total: 33 marks). Last seen in 2026.
11%
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Topic 5.4
Optimisation
Appeared 13 times in recent past papers (Total: 36 marks). Last seen in 2025.
10%
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Topic 1.1
Number Operations and Approximation
Appeared 7 times in recent past papers (Total: 18 marks). Last seen in 2026.
5%
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Topic 5.2
Tangent and Normal Lines
Appeared 5 times in recent past papers (Total: 11 marks). Last seen in 2025.
4%
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Paper-specific prediction pages
Math AI SL Paper 1 predicted questions 2026
Start with the free paper-specific prediction page, then move to guided crash-course practice.
Math AI SL Paper 2 predicted questions 2026
Start with the free paper-specific prediction page, then move to guided crash-course practice.
Math AI HL Paper 1 predicted questions 2026
Start with the free paper-specific prediction page, then move to guided crash-course practice.
Math AI HL Paper 2 predicted questions 2026
Start with the free paper-specific prediction page, then move to guided crash-course practice.
Math AI HL Paper 3 predicted questions 2026
Start with the free paper-specific prediction page, then move to guided crash-course practice.
Frequently asked questions
Are these official IB Math AI predictions?
No — these are data-driven forecasts from our analysis of past Math AI papers, not official or leaked IB content. They highlight the most frequently tested topics; the real paper can sample anywhere in the syllabus.
How are the Math AI predictions calculated?
We count how often each AI SL topic has appeared across recent Paper 1 and Paper 2 questions and weight it by marks, then rank by that score. Because both papers are GDC-required, the calculator workflows behind each topic (regression, finance solver, normal distribution) are factored into how to revise them.
How should I revise with them?
Start with the highest-probability topics and rehearse the exact GDC steps each one needs, then broaden out. Use the ranking to order practice — not to skip topics, since any can appear.
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