IB Math AI SL Predicted Topics 2026
IB Math AI SL is the most pattern-predictable maths course: trigonometry, statistics, financial maths, and modelling appear in almost every session, and both papers require a GDC. The ranking below orders each topic by past-paper frequency so you can lock in the highest-probability skills — and the matching GDC workflows — before exam day.
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IB Exam Timetable 2026
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Top Predicted Topics
Trigonometry: Right and Non-Right Triangles
Appeared 187 times in recent past papers (Total: 688 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Volumes and Surface Areas of 3D Shapes
Appeared 113 times in recent past papers (Total: 388 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Exponential and Sinusoidal Models
Appeared 111 times in recent past papers (Total: 376 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Chi-Squared Test for Independence
Appeared 65 times in recent past papers (Total: 190 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Measures of Spread and Outliers
Appeared 58 times in recent past papers (Total: 209 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Measures of Central Tendency
Appeared 50 times in recent past papers (Total: 175 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Kinematics
Appeared 49 times in recent past papers (Total: 128 marks). Last seen in 2025.
Types of Data and Sampling
Appeared 45 times in recent past papers (Total: 133 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Amortisation and Annuities
Appeared 41 times in recent past papers (Total: 142 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Spearman's Rank Correlation
Appeared 39 times in recent past papers (Total: 106 marks). Last seen in 2025.
Voronoi diagrams
Appeared 37 times in recent past papers (Total: 98 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Binomial Distribution
Appeared 38 times in recent past papers (Total: 116 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Geometric Sequences and Series
Appeared 36 times in recent past papers (Total: 119 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Quadratic Functions and Models
Appeared 35 times in recent past papers (Total: 98 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Linear Models
Appeared 32 times in recent past papers (Total: 128 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Introduction to Exponents and Logarithms
Appeared 31 times in recent past papers (Total: 75 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Venn Diagrams and Combined Events
Appeared 31 times in recent past papers (Total: 106 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Regression and Interpolation
Appeared 31 times in recent past papers (Total: 99 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Arithmetic Sequences and Series
Appeared 31 times in recent past papers (Total: 114 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Functions: Domain and Range
Appeared 30 times in recent past papers (Total: 55 marks). Last seen in 2025.
Area Under a Curve
Appeared 25 times in recent past papers (Total: 131 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Normal Distribution
Appeared 23 times in recent past papers (Total: 61 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Cumulative Frequency and Box Plots
Appeared 18 times in recent past papers (Total: 40 marks). Last seen in 2025.
Applications of Trigonometry
Appeared 19 times in recent past papers (Total: 41 marks). Last seen in 2024.
Compound Interest and Depreciation
Appeared 19 times in recent past papers (Total: 58 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Circle arc length and area of sector (degrees)
Appeared 18 times in recent past papers (Total: 54 marks). Last seen in 2025.
Trapezoid rule
Appeared 17 times in recent past papers (Total: 50 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Integration and Antiderivatives
Appeared 17 times in recent past papers (Total: 78 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Laws of Exponents and Logarithms
Appeared 16 times in recent past papers (Total: 37 marks). Last seen in 2026.
Probability Fundamentals
Appeared 17 times in recent past papers (Total: 48 marks). Last seen in 2024.
Optimisation
Appeared 15 times in recent past papers (Total: 41 marks). Last seen in 2024.
Discrete Probability Distributions
Appeared 13 times in recent past papers (Total: 30 marks). Last seen in 2024.
Technology methods for linear and polynomial systems
Appeared 8 times in recent past papers (Total: 16 marks). Last seen in 2024.
Tangent and Normal Lines
Appeared 6 times in recent past papers (Total: 12 marks). Last seen in 2023.
Transformations of Graphs
Appeared 4 times in recent past papers (Total: 14 marks). Last seen in 2025.
Paper-specific prediction pages
Math AI SL Paper 1 predicted questions 2026
Start with the free paper-specific prediction page, then move to guided crash-course practice.
Math AI SL Paper 2 predicted questions 2026
Start with the free paper-specific prediction page, then move to guided crash-course practice.
Math AI HL Paper 1 predicted questions 2026
Start with the free paper-specific prediction page, then move to guided crash-course practice.
Math AI HL Paper 2 predicted questions 2026
Start with the free paper-specific prediction page, then move to guided crash-course practice.
Math AI HL Paper 3 predicted questions 2026
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Frequently asked questions
Are these official IB Math AI SL predictions?
No — these are data-driven forecasts from our analysis of past Math AI SL papers, not official or leaked IB content. They highlight the most frequently tested topics; the real paper can sample anywhere in the syllabus.
How are the Math AI SL predictions calculated?
We count how often each AI SL topic has appeared across recent Paper 1 and Paper 2 questions and weight it by marks, then rank by that score. Because both papers are GDC-required, the calculator workflows behind each topic (regression, finance solver, normal distribution) are factored into how to revise them.
How should I revise with them?
Start with the highest-probability topics and rehearse the exact GDC steps each one needs, then broaden out. Use the ranking to order practice — not to skip topics, since any can appear.
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