#1 Most Tested
Topic 1.2 High Priority
Changing populations and places
Appeared 69 times in recent past papers (Total: 173 marks). Last seen in 2026.
100%
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IB Geography Predicted Topics 2026
IB Geography rewards the students who revise the recurring patterns: changing population (the demographic transition, migration and ageing), the causes and consequences of global climate change, and resource consumption and security dominate the Paper 2 core, while freshwater, geophysical hazards and urban environments are the most-chosen Paper 1 options. At Higher Level, the Paper 3 "global interactions" essays return to power and flows, development and culture, and global risks. The ranking below weights each topic by how often it has appeared in past papers and the marks it carried, so you revise the highest-yield material — and the case studies behind it — first.
Forecast snapshot
November 2026 Exam Countdown
5days
until exam
38
Ranked topics
IB Geography Notes
Topic-by-topic notes for the core, the HL global-interactions extension, and all seven options.
IB Geography Exam Skills
Paper structures, command terms, and the markband technique examiners reward — SL & HL.
IB Geography Flashcards
Drill the key terms, case studies, and command-term definitions the exam expects you to recall.
Top Predicted Topics
Topic 1.3
Population challenges and opportunities
Appeared 45 times in recent past papers (Total: 161 marks). Last seen in 2026.
65%
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Topic 3.1
Global trends in consumption
Appeared 45 times in recent past papers (Total: 136 marks). Last seen in 2026.
65%
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Topic 12.2
Food systems and the spread of disease
Appeared 42 times in recent past papers (Total: 159 marks). Last seen in 2026.
61%
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Topic 3.2
Impacts of changing trends in resource consumption
Appeared 41 times in recent past papers (Total: 178 marks). Last seen in 2026.
59%
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Topic 2.2
Consequences of global climate change
Appeared 37 times in recent past papers (Total: 142 marks). Last seen in 2026.
54%
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Topic 2.1
Causes of global climate change
Appeared 34 times in recent past papers (Total: 107 marks). Last seen in 2026.
49%
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Topic 11.2
Tourism and sport at the local and national scale
Appeared 33 times in recent past papers (Total: 114 marks). Last seen in 2026.
48%
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Topic 9.3
Managing extreme environments
Appeared 33 times in recent past papers (Total: 200 marks). Last seen in 2026.
48%
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Topic 10.2
Geophysical hazard risks
Appeared 32 times in recent past papers (Total: 93 marks). Last seen in 2026.
46%
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Topic 7.1
Drainage basin hydrology and geomorphology
Appeared 31 times in recent past papers (Total: 103 marks). Last seen in 2025.
45%
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Topic 8.2
Interactions between oceans and coastal places
Appeared 28 times in recent past papers (Total: 152 marks). Last seen in 2026.
41%
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Topic 1.1
Population and economic development patterns
Appeared 27 times in recent past papers (Total: 76 marks). Last seen in 2026.
39%
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Topic 8.4
Ocean management futures
Appeared 24 times in recent past papers (Total: 115 marks). Last seen in 2026.
35%
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Topic 7.4
Water management futures
Appeared 24 times in recent past papers (Total: 169 marks). Last seen in 2026.
35%
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Topic 10.4
Future resilience and adaptation
Appeared 23 times in recent past papers (Total: 142 marks). Last seen in 2026.
33%
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Topic 13.3
Urban environmental and social stresses
Appeared 23 times in recent past papers (Total: 124 marks). Last seen in 2026.
33%
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Topic 13.4
Building sustainable urban systems for the future
Appeared 22 times in recent past papers (Total: 121 marks). Last seen in 2026.
32%
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Topic 7.3
Water scarcity and water quality
Appeared 22 times in recent past papers (Total: 84 marks). Last seen in 2026.
32%
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Topic 11.3
Tourism and sport at the international scale
Appeared 22 times in recent past papers (Total: 146 marks). Last seen in 2026.
32%
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Topic 9.1
The characteristics of extreme environments
Appeared 21 times in recent past papers (Total: 31 marks). Last seen in 2026.
30%
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Topic 8.1
Ocean–atmosphere interactions
Appeared 20 times in recent past papers (Total: 43 marks). Last seen in 2026.
29%
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Topic 9.2
Physical processes and landscapes
Appeared 20 times in recent past papers (Total: 111 marks). Last seen in 2025.
29%
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Topic 11.1
Changing leisure patterns
Appeared 20 times in recent past papers (Total: 69 marks). Last seen in 2025.
29%
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Topic 13.2
Changing urban systems
Appeared 19 times in recent past papers (Total: 96 marks). Last seen in 2026.
28%
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Topic 10.1
Geophysical systems
Appeared 18 times in recent past papers (Total: 79 marks). Last seen in 2025.
26%
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Topic 12.4
Future health and food security and sustainability
Appeared 17 times in recent past papers (Total: 106 marks). Last seen in 2026.
25%
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Topic 12.1
Measuring food and health
Appeared 17 times in recent past papers (Total: 59 marks). Last seen in 2026.
25%
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Topic 10.3
Hazard risk and vulnerability
Appeared 17 times in recent past papers (Total: 106 marks). Last seen in 2025.
25%
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Topic 3.3
Resource stewardship possibilities
Appeared 16 times in recent past papers (Total: 76 marks). Last seen in 2025.
23%
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Topic 8.3
Managing coastal margins
Appeared 15 times in recent past papers (Total: 110 marks). Last seen in 2026.
22%
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Topic 11.4
Managing tourism and sport for the future
Appeared 15 times in recent past papers (Total: 91 marks). Last seen in 2026.
22%
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Topic 2.3
Responding to climate change and building resilience
Appeared 14 times in recent past papers (Total: 71 marks). Last seen in 2026.
20%
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Topic 13.1
The variety of urban environments
Appeared 13 times in recent past papers (Total: 69 marks). Last seen in 2026.
19%
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Topic 12.3
Stakeholders in food and health
Appeared 11 times in recent past papers (Total: 96 marks). Last seen in 2025.
16%
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Topic 9.4
Extreme environments' futures
Appeared 11 times in recent past papers (Total: 78 marks). Last seen in 2025.
16%
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Topic 13.5
Synthesis, evaluation and skills
Appeared 10 times in recent past papers (Total: 10 marks). Last seen in 2026.
14%
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Topic 7.2
Flooding and flood mitigation
Appeared 8 times in recent past papers (Total: 64 marks). Last seen in 2026.
12%
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Frequently asked questions
Are these official IB Geography predictions?
No — they are data-driven forecasts from our own analysis of past Geography papers, not leaked or official IB material. They show which topics have historically appeared most often so you can prioritise; the real exam can test any part of the syllabus.
How are the Geography predictions calculated?
We count how often each topic has appeared across recent Paper 1 (options), Paper 2 (core) and HL Paper 3 questions, weight it by the marks awarded, and rank topics by that combined score. The command terms and the markband extended-response essays are tracked too, because the way a topic is tested matters as much as whether it appears.
How should I revise with them?
Start with the highest-probability topics, build two or three located case studies for each, and practise the "examine / evaluate / to what extent" markband essays that carry the most marks — then broaden out. Use the ranking to sequence revision, not to skip topics.
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