IB predictions

IB Math AA Predicted Topics 2026

IB Math AA leans on calculus, functions, algebra, and sequences and series, with Paper 1 sat entirely without a calculator. Use the SL/HL toggle below to rank topics by how often they have been tested, then target the highest-yield techniques first.

Switch between SL and HL rankings below.

Forecast snapshot

November 2026 Exam Countdown

20days

until exam

51

Ranked topics

3

paper forecasts

IB Exam Timetable 2026

Plan your final revision sprint around the official Math AA exam dates.

Top Predicted Topics

#1 Most Tested
Topic 3.7 High Priority

Trigonometric Functions and Graphs

Appeared 57 times in recent past papers (Total: 115 marks). Last seen in 2026.

100%

signal

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Topic 3.2 High Priority

Triangle Trigonometry

Appeared 55 times in recent past papers (Total: 182 marks). Last seen in 2026.

96%

signal

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Topic 5.8 High Priority

Stationary Points and Optimisation

Appeared 53 times in recent past papers (Total: 173 marks). Last seen in 2026.

93%

signal

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Topic 5.9 High Priority

Kinematics

Appeared 50 times in recent past papers (Total: 129 marks). Last seen in 2026.

88%

signal

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Topic 4.3 High Priority

Central Tendency and Spread

Appeared 49 times in recent past papers (Total: 98 marks). Last seen in 2026.

86%

signal

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Topic 1.2 High Priority

Arithmetic Sequences and Series

Appeared 48 times in recent past papers (Total: 134 marks). Last seen in 2026.

84%

signal

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Topic 4.6

Combined Events

Appeared 45 times in recent past papers (Total: 120 marks). Last seen in 2026.

79%

signal

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Topic 1.7

Laws of Exponents and Logarithms

Appeared 44 times in recent past papers (Total: 133 marks). Last seen in 2026.

77%

signal

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Topic 3.1

Three-Dimensional Geometry

Appeared 44 times in recent past papers (Total: 121 marks). Last seen in 2026.

77%

signal

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Topic 5.11

Definite Integration

Appeared 43 times in recent past papers (Total: 169 marks). Last seen in 2026.

75%

signal

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Topic 3.4

Radian Measure

Appeared 43 times in recent past papers (Total: 124 marks). Last seen in 2026.

75%

signal

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Topic 4.7

Discrete Random Variables

Appeared 43 times in recent past papers (Total: 121 marks). Last seen in 2026.

75%

signal

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Topic 2.2

Functions, Domain and Range

Appeared 39 times in recent past papers (Total: 61 marks). Last seen in 2026.

68%

signal

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Topic 1.3

Geometric Sequences and Series

Appeared 39 times in recent past papers (Total: 100 marks). Last seen in 2026.

68%

signal

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Topic 2.7

Solving Quadratics

Appeared 39 times in recent past papers (Total: 131 marks). Last seen in 2026.

68%

signal

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Topic 2.5

Composite and Inverse Functions

Appeared 38 times in recent past papers (Total: 95 marks). Last seen in 2026.

67%

signal

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Topic 4.4

Correlation and Regression

Appeared 34 times in recent past papers (Total: 64 marks). Last seen in 2026.

60%

signal

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Topic 4.11

Conditional Probability

Appeared 32 times in recent past papers (Total: 104 marks). Last seen in 2026.

56%

signal

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Topic 2.6

Quadratic Functions

Appeared 32 times in recent past papers (Total: 74 marks). Last seen in 2026.

56%

signal

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Topic 4.2

Representing Data

Appeared 31 times in recent past papers (Total: 56 marks). Last seen in 2026.

54%

signal

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Topic 4.8

Binomial Distribution

Appeared 30 times in recent past papers (Total: 90 marks). Last seen in 2026.

53%

signal

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Topic 5.6

Differentiation Rules

Appeared 30 times in recent past papers (Total: 88 marks). Last seen in 2026.

53%

signal

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Topic 1.4

Financial Mathematics

Appeared 28 times in recent past papers (Total: 67 marks). Last seen in 2026.

49%

signal

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Topic 4.12

Standardized Normal and Inverse

Appeared 25 times in recent past papers (Total: 98 marks). Last seen in 2026.

44%

signal

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Topic 3.8

Trigonometric Equations

Appeared 25 times in recent past papers (Total: 95 marks). Last seen in 2026.

44%

signal

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Topic 5.4

Tangents and Normals

Appeared 22 times in recent past papers (Total: 67 marks). Last seen in 2026.

39%

signal

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Topic 2.4

Key Features of Graphs

Appeared 22 times in recent past papers (Total: 60 marks). Last seen in 2026.

39%

signal

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Topic 4.9

Normal Distribution

Appeared 21 times in recent past papers (Total: 45 marks). Last seen in 2026.

37%

signal

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Topic 1.9

The Binomial Theorem

Appeared 21 times in recent past papers (Total: 79 marks). Last seen in 2026.

37%

signal

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Topic 2.8

Rational Functions

Appeared 21 times in recent past papers (Total: 30 marks). Last seen in 2026.

37%

signal

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Topic 2.1

Linear Functions

Appeared 17 times in recent past papers (Total: 35 marks). Last seen in 2026.

30%

signal

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Topic 2.3

Sketching Graphs

Appeared 17 times in recent past papers (Total: 50 marks). Last seen in 2026.

30%

signal

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Topic 5.3

Differentiating Powers

Appeared 17 times in recent past papers (Total: 32 marks). Last seen in 2026.

30%

signal

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Topic 4.5

Probability Fundamentals

Appeared 16 times in recent past papers (Total: 33 marks). Last seen in 2026.

28%

signal

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Topic 3.6

Trigonometric Identities

Appeared 15 times in recent past papers (Total: 46 marks). Last seen in 2026.

26%

signal

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Topic 5.7

The Second Derivative

Appeared 15 times in recent past papers (Total: 42 marks). Last seen in 2026.

26%

signal

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Topic 2.9

Exponential and Logarithmic Functions

Appeared 14 times in recent past papers (Total: 19 marks). Last seen in 2026.

25%

signal

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Topic 2.11

Transformations of Graphs

Appeared 13 times in recent past papers (Total: 47 marks). Last seen in 2026.

23%

signal

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Topic 5.5

Introduction to Integration

Appeared 13 times in recent past papers (Total: 49 marks). Last seen in 2026.

23%

signal

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Topic 3.3

Applications of Trigonometry

Appeared 11 times in recent past papers (Total: 24 marks). Last seen in 2026.

19%

signal

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Topic 4.10

Prediction from Regression

Appeared 11 times in recent past papers (Total: 19 marks). Last seen in 2026.

19%

signal

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Topic 1.6

Proof

Appeared 11 times in recent past papers (Total: 33 marks). Last seen in 2025.

19%

signal

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Topic 5.10

Integration by Substitution

Appeared 10 times in recent past papers (Total: 42 marks). Last seen in 2026.

18%

signal

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Topic 1.8

Infinite Geometric Series

Appeared 10 times in recent past papers (Total: 28 marks). Last seen in 2026.

18%

signal

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Topic 4.1

Sampling

Appeared 10 times in recent past papers (Total: 13 marks). Last seen in 2026.

18%

signal

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Topic 5.2

Increasing and Decreasing Functions

Appeared 8 times in recent past papers (Total: 20 marks). Last seen in 2026.

14%

signal

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Topic 1.5

Introduction to Logarithms

Appeared 8 times in recent past papers (Total: 15 marks). Last seen in 2025.

14%

signal

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Topic 3.5

The Unit Circle

Appeared 6 times in recent past papers (Total: 22 marks). Last seen in 2026.

11%

signal

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Topic 2.10

Solving Equations Graphically

Appeared 6 times in recent past papers (Total: 12 marks). Last seen in 2026.

11%

signal

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Topic 5.1

Introduction to Differentiation

Appeared 5 times in recent past papers (Total: 14 marks). Last seen in 2024.

9%

signal

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Topic 1.1

Standard Form

Appeared 3 times in recent past papers (Total: 7 marks). Last seen in 2021.

5%

signal

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Paper-specific prediction pages

Math AA HL Paper 1 predicted questions 2026

Start with the free paper-specific prediction page, then move to guided crash-course practice.

Math AA HL Paper 2 predicted questions 2026

Start with the free paper-specific prediction page, then move to guided crash-course practice.

Math AA HL Paper 3 predicted questions 2026

Start with the free paper-specific prediction page, then move to guided crash-course practice.

Frequently asked questions

Are these official IB Math AA predictions?

No — these are our own data-driven forecasts from past Math AA papers, not official or leaked IB content. They show which topics appear most often; the exam can still test any part of the course.

How are the Math AA predictions calculated?

We count how often each AA SL topic has been examined across recent Paper 1 and Paper 2 questions and weight it by marks, then rank by that score. Paper 1 is non-calculator, so the by-hand methods each topic needs are factored into how to revise them.

How should I revise with them?

Lead with the top-ranked topics and practise the by-hand techniques Paper 1 demands, then broaden out. Use the ranking to sequence revision rather than leave topics out.

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