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NotesHistory (2028+) HLTopic 12.12The PRC — reform, growth and a rising power
Back to History (2028+) HL Topics
12.12.34 min read

The PRC — reform, growth and a rising power (History (2028+) HL)

IB History (first exams 2028) • Unit 12

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Contents

  • From Mao's chaos to Deng's marketplace
  • Joining the world economy — growth, and its costs
  • From hiding strength to the Belt and Road

Mao Zedong died in September 1976. Within two years, a very different leader had taken control: Deng Xiaoping, a pragmatic survivor of the Cultural Revolution who had been purged twice by Mao.

Deng's famous line summed up his approach: it doesn't matter if a cat is black or white, as long as it catches mice. In other words, he didn't care whether a policy was 'communist' in theory — he cared whether it worked.

Socialism with Chinese characteristics: This is the label the Communist Party gave to Deng's reforms: keep the Party in total political control, but allow market forces, private enterprise and foreign investment to drive the economy. It let China copy capitalist tools without admitting it was abandoning socialism.

The centrepiece of Deng's programme was the Four Modernisations — agriculture, industry, national defence, and science and technology. The goal was to catch up with the developed world by modernising all four areas at once, after two decades in which Mao's campaigns had wrecked the economy.

  • Agriculture — the 'household responsibility system' replaced Mao's collective farms; families could lease land, sell surplus crops for profit, and keep the proceeds
  • Industry — state factories gained more freedom to make their own decisions instead of following rigid central quotas
  • Defence — the army was modernised and professionalised rather than used for mass political campaigns
  • Science and technology — students were sent abroad and foreign technology was imported to close the gap with the West

The most visible symbol of the new approach was the Special Economic Zone (SEZ), a coastal area — such as Shenzhen — given tax breaks and freedom from normal state controls to attract foreign investment. Shenzhen grew from a fishing town of about 30,000 people in 1980 into a city of millions within a generation.

Shenzhen — reform's showcase: In 1980 Shenzhen was a border town facing Hong Kong. By the 2000s it was a manufacturing and finance hub with skyscrapers, foreign factories and a stock exchange. The Party pointed to it as proof that market reform could be controlled and contained, then expanded once it had been tested.

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Reform did not stop with Deng. His successors — Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao — kept opening the economy further. The biggest single step came in 2001, when China joined the World Trade Organization (WTO), the body that sets global rules for trade between countries.

WTO membership forced China to cut tariffs tariff and open industries to foreign competition. In exchange, Chinese exports gained much easier access to markets like the US and the EU.

1

Export boom

Cheap, abundant labour plus new market access turned China into 'the world's factory', making everything from toys to electronics for export.

2

GDP take-off

Annual growth regularly topped 9–10% through the 1990s and 2000s, lifting hundreds of millions out of extreme poverty.

3

Urban migration

Hundreds of millions of rural workers moved to coastal cities for factory jobs, reshaping where and how people lived.

WTO 2001 → exports boom → growth boom → migration boom.

But this growth was never shared equally. The coastal SEZ cities grew rich while much of the rural interior was left behind, and a new class of billionaires emerged alongside workers on very low wages.

The case that reform succeeded

  • Extreme poverty fell from hundreds of millions of people to a small fraction of the population
  • China became the world's second-largest economy by the 2010s
  • Life expectancy, literacy and access to consumer goods all rose sharply
  • The Party avoided the economic collapse that hit the Soviet Union after 1991

The case that reform created serious problems

  • Coastal-rural and urban-rural inequality widened dramatically (Gini coefficient rose sharply after 1978)
  • Migrant workers often lacked full access to city schools and healthcare under the hukou system
  • Corruption spread as officials controlled access to land, licences and contracts
  • Rapid industrial growth caused severe air and water pollution in many regions
One-child policy (from 1979/1980): To reduce pressure on resources, most urban couples were limited to one child, enforced through fines, forced sterilisations and, in some cases, forced abortions. It slowed population growth but created a skewed gender ratio (a cultural preference for sons led to sex-selective abortion) and an ageing population with too few young workers to support it. It was relaxed to two children in 2015 and three in 2021 as the problems became clear.

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Deng Xiaoping's foreign policy was as pragmatic as his economics. His guiding phrase, often summarised as 'hide your strength, bide your time', meant China should avoid confrontation abroad while it focused on growing the economy at home.

This was a sharp break from Mao's foreign policy, which had swung between exporting revolution and fighting both superpowers. Deng instead normalised relations wherever it helped trade and investment.

YearEventWhy it mattered
1979Full diplomatic relations with the USA establishedOpened the door to US trade, investment and technology
1972–79Sino-US rapprochement completed (from Nixon's 1972 visit to full ties)Ended China's Cold War isolation from the West
1997Hong Kong returned to China from Britain ('one country, two systems')Recovered territory lost in the 19th century without a war
2001China joined the WTOLocked in access to global markets, accelerating growth
2013Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) launched by Xi JinpingMarked a shift from 'biding time' to actively shaping global infrastructure

By the 2000s and especially under Xi Jinping (leader from 2012–13), China had grown confident enough to abandon 'hiding strength' altogether. The clearest symbol of this shift is the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), launched in 2013.

What the Belt and Road actually is: The BRI is a huge programme of Chinese-funded loans and construction — ports, railways, roads and power plants — across Asia, Africa, Europe and Latin America. It echoes the ancient Silk Road trade routes and is designed to build economic ties (and political goodwill) with dozens of countries at once.
  • Ports — e.g. Gwadar in Pakistan, giving China a route to the Indian Ocean
  • Railways — high-speed and freight lines linking China to Central Asia and Europe
  • Energy — pipelines and power stations funded through Chinese state banks
  • Digital infrastructure — telecoms networks built by Chinese firms such as Huawei

China has also become more assertive militarily and diplomatically — building artificial islands with airstrips in the disputed South China Sea, expanding its navy, and pushing back hard against any criticism of its human rights record, including over Xinjiang and Hong Kong.

BRI as generous partnership

  • Brings roads, ports and power to countries that struggle to get funding elsewhere
  • China presents itself as a fellow developing nation offering 'south-south' cooperation
  • Genuinely speeds up trade and growth in many recipient countries

BRI as 'debt-trap diplomacy'

  • Critics argue loans are deliberately large so China can seize strategic assets if a country cannot repay (e.g. Sri Lanka's Hambantota port, leased to China for 99 years in 2017)
  • Contracts often favour Chinese firms and workers over local ones
  • Expands China's political influence and access to strategic locations worldwide

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