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Topic 4.19Math AI HL8 flashcards

Markov chains (HL only)

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Card 1 of 84.19.1
4.19.1
Question

What does entry (row i, column j) of a transition matrix mean?

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All Flashcards in Topic 4.19

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4.19.18 cards

Card 1concept
Question

What does entry (row i, column j) of a transition matrix mean?

Answer

The probability of moving FROM state j INTO state i in one step.

Card 2concept
Question

Why do the columns of a transition matrix sum to 1?

Answer

Everyone who starts in that state (column) must end up in some state, so the probabilities over all destinations total 1.

Card 3formula
Question

How do you step a Markov chain forward one period?

Answer

Multiply the transition matrix by the current state vector: s₁ = T s₀.

Card 4formula
Question

State vector after n steps?

Answer

sₙ = Tⁿ s₀ — raise T to the power n, then multiply by the start vector.

Card 5concept
Question

How do you turn '70% of A return to A, 30% switch to B' into a matrix?

Answer

Column A is 0.7 in the A-row and 0.3 in the B-row (column = where you start, row = where you end).

Card 6concept
Question

On the GDC, how do you get the population after n weeks?

Answer

Store T and s₀, then compute T^n and the product T^n × s₀.

Card 7concept
Question

Is a transition matrix usually symmetric?

Answer

No — the chance of A→B need not equal B→A, so it is generally not symmetric.

Card 8concept
Question

After computing sₙ, what extra step earns marks in AI HL?

Answer

Interpret the numbers IN CONTEXT — say which group/café/patch they describe and round sensibly.

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