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NotesMath AATopic 4.7Repeated trials & expected outcomes
Back to Math AA Topics
4.7.61 min read

Repeated trials & expected outcomes

IB Mathematics: Analysis and Approaches · Unit 4

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Contents

  1. 1Two independent plays
  2. 2Expected number of results
  3. 3Exam-style question

Two independent plays

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Score
00.2
10.5
20.3
Remember both orders: 0 then 2 and 2 then 0 are different possibilities.

Count 1 then 1 only once.

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Expected number of results

Number of trials × probability of the event.

Expected losses

The probability of a loss is 0.25. A game is played 60 times. Find the expected number of losses.

Step by step

  1. Multiply the number of games by the probability of a loss.

Final answer

15 losses are expected; exactly 15 losses are not guaranteed.

Asked for…Use…
Average score or gain
Number of wins or losses

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Exam-style question

Try it, then check

Each play pays €0 or €4, each with probability 1/2. Find the chance of €4 total in two independent plays. In 40 plays, how many zero prizes are expected? [4]

Step by step

  1. Two ways: 0 then 4, or 4 then 0.
  2. Expected count = plays × chance.

Final answer

Chance of €4 total = 1/2. Expected zero prizes = 20.

IB Exam Questions on Repeated trials & expected outcomes

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How Repeated trials & expected outcomes Appears in IB Exams

Examiners use specific command terms when asking about this topic. Here's what to expect:

  • Define

    Give the precise meaning of key terms related to Repeated trials & expected outcomes.

    AO1
  • Describe

    Give a detailed account of processes or features in Repeated trials & expected outcomes.

    AO2
  • Explain

    Give reasons WHY — cause and effect within Repeated trials & expected outcomes.

    AO3
  • Evaluate

    Weigh strengths AND limitations of approaches in Repeated trials & expected outcomes.

    AO3
  • Discuss

    Present arguments FOR and AGAINST with a balanced conclusion.

    AO3

See the full IB Command Terms guide

Related Math AA Topics

Continue learning with these related topics from the same unit:

4.1.1Populations & samples4.1.2Sampling techniques4.2.1Frequency & histograms4.2.2Cumulative frequency
View all Math AA topics
Improve your exam techniqueCommand terms, paper structure, and mark-scheme tips for Math AA
Previous4.7.5Expected value in decisionsNextBinomial probabilities4.8.1

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