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NotesHistory (2028+) HLTopic 10.9
Unit 10 · Paper 3 · History of Africa and the Middle East (HL) · Topic 10.9

IB History (2028+) HL — Conflict and instability in the Middle East (1896–2020)

Topic 10.9 of IB History (first exams 2028) covers Conflict and instability in the Middle East (1896–2020), which is part of Unit 10: Paper 3 · History of Africa and the Middle East (HL). Students explore key concepts including Arab–Israeli conflict — origins and tensions to 1945, Arab–Israeli conflict — 1948 war and escalation, Arab–Israeli conflict — impact and peace efforts. A strong understanding of conflict and instability in the middle east (1896–2020) is essential for IB History (2028+) HL exams and builds the foundation for connected topics across the syllabus.

Higher Level students should use this topic hub as a map: start with the shared sub-topics, then follow the HL-only extensions and exam-skill links where this topic asks for deeper analysis.

Exam technique guidePractice questions

Key concepts in Conflict and instability in the Middle East (1896–2020)

Key Idea: One piece of land, two peoples who both called it home, and a British empire that promised it to both — that contradiction, born in the 1890s-1920s, still hasn't been resolved. This topic tracks it from Herzl's Zionism and the Balfour Declaration, through the wars of 1948-1973, to the peace efforts that each solved part of the problem but never all of it.

How this topic is tested

This is a Paper 3 regional-depth topic, so you write two essays, each worth 15 marks.

Every question is a claim you must evaluate — usually phrased 'To what extent do you agree that...'. You are not just describing what happened. You need a clear thesis, a substantiated case for the claim, a substantiated case against it, named evidence (real dates, people, treaties), and a final judgement that directly answers 'to what extent'. You do NOT need historiography or named historians for the top band — you need precise historical knowledge and a confident argument.

Must-know facts — one line per micro

MicroFocusKey names, dates and events
10.9.1Two promises, one land (1896-1945)Herzl's Zionism (First Zionist Congress, 1897) vs Palestinian Arab nationalism; Britain's contradictory WWI promises — McMahon-Hussein correspondence, Sykes-Picot Agreement (1916), Balfour Declaration (1917); Palestine Mandate begins 1922; Fifth Aliyah (1929-1939) driven by Nazi persecution; White Papers of 1922, 1930, 1939 swing British policy; Arab Revolt (1936-1939) crushed by Britain, leaving Arab leadership (Husaynis vs Nashashibis) divided
10.9.2War and organisation (1945-1973)WWII and the Holocaust transform the scale of the Zionist cause; UN Resolution 181 partition plan (Nov 1947) — Jews accept, Arabs reject; Ben-Gurion declares the State of Israel (14 May 1948); First Arab-Israeli War (1948-49) — Israel wins, ~700,000 Palestinians displaced (the Nakba); Suez Crisis (1956) raises Nasser's prestige; PLO founded (1964); Six-Day War (1967) — Israel takes Sinai, Gaza, West Bank, East Jerusalem, Golan Heights; Yom Kippur War (1973); First Intifada (1987-1993) and the founding of Hamas (1987); Second Intifada (2000-2005) after Camp David's collapse
10.9.3Impact and the search for peaceMass displacement both ways — ~700,000 Palestinian refugees (Nakba) and ~850,000 Jews migrating from Arab states; women becoming refugee-camp heads of household and Intifada organisers; marginalised groups — Palestinian Christians, Bedouin, Israeli Arabs; four peace efforts: Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty (1979, Sadat, Sinai returned), Oslo Accords (1993 onward, Palestinian Authority created but not statehood), Camp David Summit (2000, collapsed over Jerusalem/refugees/borders), Arab Peace Initiative (2002, still unaccepted); Rabin assassinated 1995

Exam-style question 1 — origins essay

IB-style questionEvaluate[15 marks]

To what extent do you agree that British policy, rather than the actions of Arabs or Jews themselves, was the main cause of Arab-Jewish tensions in Palestine to 1945?

🔒 Model answer plan

See the mark-by-mark plan — for / against / judgement, with marking guidance — in study mode.

Unlock free for 7 days →

Exam-style question 2 — 1948 and its legacy

IB-style questionEvaluate[15 marks]

To what extent do you agree that the failure to create a Palestinian state in 1948 was the single most important cause of continued conflict in the Middle East?

🔒 Model answer plan

See the mark-by-mark plan — for / against / judgement, with marking guidance — in study mode.

Unlock free for 7 days →
Important: Do not write a one-sided essay that blames only Israel or only the Arab states. Paper 3 markschemes reward you for holding BOTH perspectives at once — explaining Zionist and Palestinian Arab actions on their own terms — and for naming specific dates, people and treaties instead of vague phrases like 'tension increased'.

What did the Balfour Declaration (1917) promise, and why did it clash with Sykes-Picot? It publicly committed Britain to backing a Jewish national home in Palestine, while the secret 1916 Sykes-Picot Agreement had already carved up the same Ottoman land between Britain and France — two incompatible promises over one territory.

Why did the Fifth Aliyah (1929-1939) matter so much? It was a huge surge in Jewish immigration to Palestine driven by Nazi persecution in Europe, sharply increasing the Jewish population and land purchases just as Arab nationalism was hardening — feeding directly into the Arab Revolt of 1936-1939.

What was the Nakba? The displacement of roughly 700,000 Palestinian Arabs during the 1948-49 war, after Israel's declaration of independence (14 May 1948) and the Arab League invasion that followed. It created the refugee crisis that still shapes Palestinian politics today.

What changed in the Six-Day War (1967)? Israel captured the Sinai Peninsula, Gaza, the West Bank, East Jerusalem and the Golan Heights in six days, transforming the map and creating the occupied territories that remain central to the conflict.

Name the four major peace efforts and what each achieved. Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty (1979) returned Sinai to Egypt; Oslo Accords (1993 onward) brought mutual recognition and created the Palestinian Authority, not full statehood; Camp David Summit (2000) collapsed over Jerusalem, refugees and borders; Arab Peace Initiative (2002) offered full normalisation for full withdrawal but remains unaccepted.

What was the First Intifada, and how is Hamas connected to it? A mass Palestinian uprising (1987-1993) of protests, strikes and stone-throwing against Israeli occupation in Gaza and the West Bank. Hamas was founded in 1987 during this uprising as an Islamist movement combining social welfare work with armed resistance, and became the PLO's main rival for Palestinian leadership.

Keep a mental timeline: 1897 Zionist Congress to 1917 Balfour to 1922 Mandate to 1936-39 Arab Revolt to 1948 war to 1967 and 1973 wars to 1987 Intifada/Hamas to 1993 Oslo to 2000 Camp David collapse to 2002 Arab Peace Initiative. Always argue both perspectives. Always name real people, dates and documents. Always end with a direct answer to 'to what extent'.

What you'll learn in Topic 10.9

  • 10.9.1 Arab–Israeli conflict — origins and tensions to 1945
  • 10.9.2 Arab–Israeli conflict — 1948 war and escalation
  • 10.9.3 Arab–Israeli conflict — impact and peace efforts
Suggested study order: Read the notes for each sub-topic below → test yourself with flashcards → attempt practice questions → review exam technique.

Study resources — 10.9 Conflict and instability in the Middle East (1896–2020)

10.9.1

Arab–Israeli conflict — origins and tensions to 1945

Notes
10.9.2

Arab–Israeli conflict — 1948 war and escalation

Notes
10.9.3

Arab–Israeli conflict — impact and peace efforts

Notes

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Topic 10.9 Conflict and instability in the Middle East (1896–2020) forms a core part of Unit 10: Paper 3 · History of Africa and the Middle East (HL) in IB History (2028+) HL. Mastering these concepts will strengthen your understanding of connected topics across the syllabus and prepare you for exam questions that require analysis, evaluation, and real-world application.

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