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NotesESSTopic 2.1Population growth curves
Back to ESS Topics
2.1.125 min read

Population growth curves

IB Environmental Systems and Societies • Unit 2

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Contents

  • The J-curve: exponential growth
  • The S-curve: growth limited by carrying capacity
  • Numbers and rates of change
  • Boom and bust: St Matthew Island
  • Exam-style question
Growth with no brakes: With nothing to limit it, a population grows in an exponential way, drawn as a J-shaped curve.

The points to remember

  • With no limiting factors, a population grows exponentially: a J-curve.
  • Growth is slow at first, because few individuals are breeding.
  • Then it gets faster and faster: more individuals breed, so even more young are born.
  • J-curve growth happens when a species reaches a new place with plenty of resources and no predators.
  • It cannot last: resources run out, so the population often crashes.
Remember it as: J for 'just keeps going': until the food runs out.
A J-shaped curve: the number of individuals rises slowly at first, then more and more steeply
A J-curve: slow at first, then faster and faster.

Real example: in 1859, 24 rabbits were released in Australia; with few predators and plenty of grass, there were hundreds of millions by the 1920s.

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Growth with brakes: When density-dependent factors start to act, growth slows and the population levels off: an S-shaped curve.

The points to remember

  • When density-dependent limiting factors start to act, the curve becomes S-shaped.
  • Lag phase: few individuals, growth is slow.
  • Exponential phase: plenty of resources, fast growth.
  • Transitional phase: competition, predation and disease grow (environmental resistance), so growth slows.
  • Plateau: the population levels off at the carrying capacity (K), with small rises and falls.
Remember it as: S for 'slows and settles': lag, fast, slowing, level.
An S-shaped curve divided into four shaded phases: lag, exponential, slowing and plateau, with a dashed carrying capacity line at the top
The four phases of an S-curve.

Real example: yeast cells growing in a flask of sugar solution show a clear S-curve: they multiply fast, then level off as the sugar runs low and waste builds up.

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A growth curve can show how many individuals there are, or how fast the number is changing. The exam can give you either.

The points to remember

  • The number of individuals is how big the population is; the growth rate is how many are added each year.
  • On a J-curve, the growth rate keeps rising.
  • On an S-curve, the growth rate rises, peaks at about half of K, then falls to zero at K.
  • The number keeps rising as long as the growth rate is above zero, even while the rate is falling.
  • A negative growth rate means the population is shrinking.
Remember it as: Numbers: how many. Rate: how fast. Fastest at half K, zero at K.
Two graphs over the same time: above, an S-curve of numbers levelling at K; below, the growth rate, a hill that peaks when numbers are at about half of K and falls to zero at K
The growth rate peaks at about half of K and falls to zero at K.
Read the axis first: A falling growth rate does not mean a falling population. The population falls only when the rate is below zero.
Boom and bust: Some populations do not level off. They boom, overshoot their carrying capacity, and crash.

The points to remember

  • A population with plenty of food and no predators grows as a J-curve.
  • The limiting factors act too late, so it overshoots its carrying capacity.
  • It eats its food faster than the food can regrow and damages its habitat.
  • Then it crashes: many starve (the bust).
  • The damaged habitat now supports fewer than before: the carrying capacity has fallen.
Remember it as: Boom, overshoot, bust: and less food afterwards.
Line graph of reindeer on St Matthew Island: 29 in 1944, 1350 in 1957, about 6000 in 1963, and 42 in 1966
St Matthew Island: 29 reindeer became about 6000, then 42.
The guide's example: In 1944, 29 reindeer were released on St Matthew Island, Alaska, where no predators lived. They ate the slow-growing lichen faster than it could regrow. In the hard winter of 1963-64 most starved; by 1966, 42 were left.

Real example: on Arizona's Kaibab Plateau, hunters removed most of the pumas and wolves in the early 1900s; the deer boomed, stripped the plants, and then many starved.

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How this comes up: Paper 2, Section B (b): explain why a named species follows an S-curve [7]. Data questions give J- and S-curves to identify, a carrying capacity to read off, or a boom and bust to explain.
IB-style questionExplain[7 marks]

Studies of red deer on the Isle of Rum, Scotland have followed the herd's numbers for many years.

With reference to a named herbivore species, explain why its population growth curve follows an S-shape.

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IB Exam Questions on Population growth curves

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How Population growth curves Appears in IB Exams

Examiners use specific command terms when asking about this topic. Here's what to expect:

Define

Give the precise meaning of key terms related to Population growth curves.

AO1
Describe

Give a detailed account of processes or features in Population growth curves.

AO2
Explain

Give reasons WHY — cause and effect within Population growth curves.

AO3
Evaluate

Weigh strengths AND limitations of approaches in Population growth curves.

AO3
Discuss

Present arguments FOR and AGAINST with a balanced conclusion.

AO3

See the full IB Command Terms guide →

Related ESS Topics

Continue learning with these related topics from the same unit:

2.1.1The biosphere
2.1.2Organisms and species
2.1.3Classification
2.1.4Identification of organisms
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2.1.11Density-dependent factors
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Limits on human population growth2.1.13

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