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NotesGeography HLTopic 1.1Economic development, fertility and the demographic dividend
Back to Geography HL Topics
1.1.21 min read

Economic development, fertility and the demographic dividend

IB Geography • Unit 1

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Contents

  • How development changes a population
  • Why fertility falls as economies grow
  • The demographic dividend
  • Reading development data
The big idea: As a country develops economically, two things usually happen:

- Fertility falls — women have fewer children. - Life expectancy rises — people live longer.

The table below shows the pattern: richer, more-developed countries have low fertility and high life expectancy.
CountryFertility rate (children per woman)Life expectancy (years)
Japan1.384
Germany1.581
Brazil1.676
India2.070
Kenya3.367
Niger6.861

Key terms

  • Fertility rate — the average number of children a woman has.
  • Economic development — rising income, education, health and living standards.
  • Demographic dividend — the economic boost when a large share of people are of working age (few dependants).

The main reasons

  • Female education & jobs — educated women in work tend to delay and have fewer children.
  • Lower child mortality — when more children survive, families don't need to have as many.
  • Cost of children — in cities, children cost more and work less, so families have fewer.
  • Family planning — better access to contraception lets families choose smaller sizes.
IB-style questionExplain[4 marks]

Explain two reasons why fertility rates tend to fall as a country develops economically.

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A window of opportunity: When fertility falls, a country can get a demographic dividend: a large working-age population with relatively few dependants (children and elderly).

More workers supporting fewer dependants can boost the economy — if there are enough jobs.
IB-style questionSuggest[4 marks]

Suggest two ways a large working-age population can deliver economic gains to a country.

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Develop the point: Suggest/Explain needs development — don't just say 'more workers'; say more workers → more output and taxes → economic growth.
How this is tested: Life expectancy for several countries often comes as a radial (spoke) chart — one spoke per country, with rings for the scale — rather than a bar chart. The first marks are quick Identify (read a country's value off its spoke) and Estimate (a sensible figure from the rings), each worth [1]. Always quote the units (years) and check the scale before you answer.

Read the scale rings first, then read each country's value along its spoke.

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IB-style questionEstimate[2 marks]

Using the radial chart: (a) identify the country with the highest life expectancy [1]; (b) estimate Brazil's life expectancy [1].

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CountryFertility rate (children per woman)Life expectancy (years)
Japan1.384
Germany1.581
Brazil1.676
India2.070
Kenya3.367
Niger6.861

IB-style question — read the chart

Using the table above: (a) identify the country with the lowest life expectancy [1]; (b) estimate India's life expectancy [1]; (c) describe the relationship between fertility and life expectancy [2].

How to answer each part

  1. (a) Identify the lowest. Scan the life-expectancy column — Niger is lowest at 61 years.
  2. (b) Estimate India. Read India's row → about 70 years.
  3. (c) Describe the relationship. It is negative/inverse: countries with high fertility (Niger 6.8) have low life expectancy (61), while low-fertility countries (Japan 1.3) have high life expectancy (84).

Final answer

(a) Niger; (b) ≈ 70 years; (c) a negative relationship — higher fertility goes with lower life expectancy.

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how the rising cost of children in cities can reduce fertility. [2 marks]

Related Geography HL Topics

Continue learning with these related topics from the same unit:

1.1.1Population distribution and physical factors
1.2.1Population structure: pyramids, age and sex
1.2.2Megacities and the consequences of rapid growth
1.2.3Forced migration and displacement
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