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NotesMath AITopic 2.5Exponential models
Back to Math AI Topics
2.5.36 min read

Exponential models

IB Mathematics: Applications and Interpretation • Unit 2

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Contents

  • The exponential model and its parameters
  • Building the model from context
  • Common errors with exponential models
  • The horizontal asymptote and long-run behaviour
The big idea: Use an exponential model y = a·bˣ when the quantity multiplies by the same factor each equal period.

If b > 1, it grows.

If 0 < b < 1, it decays.
a = initial value (when x = 0); b = growth/decay factor per period; x = number of periods
ParameterRoleExample
aStarting value (y when x = 0)a = 500 → starts at 500 bacteria
b > 1Growth factor (multiplied each period)b = 1.2 → 20% increase per period
0 < b < 1Decay factor (multiplied each period)b = 0.8 → 20% decrease per period

Exponential growth (b > 1)

  • Curve rises faster and faster
  • Never negative (always above y = 0)
  • Example: b = 1.05 means 5% increase per period

Exponential decay (0 < b < 1)

  • Curve falls towards y = 0 but never reaches it
  • Horizontal asymptote at y = 0
  • Example: b = 0.9 means 10% decrease per period

Growth vs decay shapes — y = 2ˣ rises faster and faster; y = 8·(0.5)ˣ falls toward zero but never touches it.

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Growth or decay?: b > 1 → growth (curve rises). 0 < b < 1 → decay (curve falls towards y = 0).

If b = 1 the model is constant — not exponential.

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The big idea: To build y = a·bˣ from a context: identify a (the starting amount), identify b (the multiplier per period), then write the model.

Substitute to make predictions.

Exponential growth model

A colony of 200 bacteria doubles every hour.

Write a model for the number N after t hours, then find N at t = 5.

Step by step

  1. Write the formula.
  2. Identify a and b.
  3. Write the model.
  4. Substitute t = 5.

Final answer

N = 200 · 2ᵗ. After 5 hours: N = 6400 bacteria.

Exponential decay model

A car worth $24 000 loses 15% of its value each year.

Write a model for value V after t years.

Step by step

  1. Write the formula.
  2. A 15% loss means 85% remains each year.
  3. Write the model.

Final answer

V = 24 000 · (0.85)ᵗ

Decay factor = 1 − rate: If something loses 15% per year, the decay factor is b = 1 − 0.15 = 0.85.

You keep 85% each year.

IB awards a mark for correct identification of b — show this step.

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The big idea: The most common errors: using the percentage rate as b instead of 1 ± rate, and confusing growth factor with decay factor.

Wrong

  • b = 0.15 for 15% decay (wrong — use 0.85)
  • b = 1.2 for 20% decay (should be 0.80)
  • Writing 200 × 2ˣ for decay
  • Saying b = 2 means 2% growth

Correct

  • 15% decay: b = 1 − 0.15 = 0.85
  • 20% decay: b = 1 − 0.20 = 0.80
  • Growth: b > 1, decay: 0 < b < 1
  • b = 2 means doubling each period (100% increase)
Show the b calculation: Always write b = 1 + rate or b = 1 − rate as a step in your solution.

IB awards a mark for identifying b correctly — even if the final answer has an error.

Avoiding the percentage-rate trap

A bacterial colony of 100 cells doubles every hour, so b = 2.

A student incorrectly writes the SAME model for a 100-cell colony that LOSES 20% per hour.

What is the correct decay model, and what does the student's mistake look like?

Step by step

  1. Identify a — both situations start with 100 cells.
  2. Identify b for the decay model. 20% loss means 80% remains each hour.
  3. Write the decay model.
  4. The student wrote b = 0.20 (the rate) instead of b = 0.80 (the keep-fraction). That model decays MUCH faster — 100·(0.20)t — and is incorrect.

Final answer

Correct decay model: N = 100·(0.80)ᵗ. Common error: writing b = 0.20 instead of b = 1 − 0.20. Always show b = 1 ± rate as an explicit step.

The big idea: For y = a·bˣ, the horizontal asymptote is y = 0.

As x → +∞ for decay (b < 1), the quantity approaches 0 but never reaches it.

If a constant c is added (y = a·bˣ + c), the asymptote shifts to y = c.
ModelHorizontal asymptoteWhat it means
y = 200 · (0.8)ˣy = 0Value approaches zero but never reaches it
y = 200 · (0.8)ˣ + 50y = 50Value never drops below 50

Long-run behaviour — the curve flattens toward the horizontal asymptote y = 50.

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Asymptote in context: If asked 'what does the graph approach as time increases?', state the horizontal asymptote as y = c.

Then explain what this means in context (e.g. 'the temperature approaches 20°C but never goes below it').

Try an IB Exam Question — Free AI Feedback

Test yourself on Exponential models. Write your answer and get instant AI feedback — just like a real IB examiner.

A population is modelled by $P = 800(1.04)^{t}$, where $t$ is in years.

Write down the initial population. [1 mark]

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2.1.1Gradient and y-intercept
2.1.2Writing the equation of a straight line
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2.1.4Linear models in context
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