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NotesESSTopic 7.2Rising energy demand
Back to ESS Topics
7.2.26 min read

Rising energy demand

IB Environmental Systems and Societies • Unit 7

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Contents

  • World energy use keeps rising
  • More people, and more energy each
  • Why fossil fuels still dominate
  • Meeting demand, and sharing it fairly
  • Calculating changes in energy use
  • Exam-style question
More energy every decade: The world uses more energy almost every year. Primary energy use has grown about four times since 1965.

The points to remember

  • World energy use is rising: about 4 times as much in 2024 as in 1965.
  • 2024 set a new record: use grew about 2%, and every source grew, coal included.
  • Most energy still comes from fossil fuels: about 81% in 2024 (94% in 1965).
  • Renewables are increasing fast, but so far they add to fossil fuels rather than replace them.
  • Two drivers: more people and more energy per person (per capita demand).
Stacked bars of world primary energy by source, 1965 to 2024, in thousand TWh: totals 43.4, 67.2, 84.3, 101.3, 127.9, 152.4 and 176.7; coal, oil and gas make up most of every bar; renewables are a thin but growing top layer
Energy use has quadrupled; fossil fuels still dominate.

Real example: in 2024 world energy use rose about 2% to a new record, and coal, oil, gas, nuclear and renewables all grew (Energy Institute, 2025).

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Energy use grows for two reasons: there are more people, and each person uses more. Since 1965 energy use has grown faster than population, so use per capita has risen too.

Line chart, 1965 = 100: world energy use rises to 408 by 2024, population to 245 and energy per person to 167
Energy use grew faster than population.

The points to remember

  • Population growth: 3.3 billion people in 1965, 8.2 billion in 2024; each needs energy.
  • Higher standard of living: more appliances, cars, flights and air conditioning.
  • Industrial development: factories, mines and cities use far more energy than farming.
  • Urbanisation and access to electricity: newly connected homes start using power.
  • Use per person can fall: recession, efficiency, heavy industry closing.
  • A US citizen uses about 10 times as much energy as someone in India.
Bar chart of primary energy per person in 2024, thousand kWh: Canada 97.8, United States 76.8, Germany 37.8, China 34.5, United Kingdom 28.0, World 21.7, Brazil 18.5, India 7.8, Bangladesh 3.0, Nigeria 2.3 and Ethiopia 0.7 (2023)
Energy use per person differs more than 100 times.
Remember it as: More people, more each: that is why demand rises.

Real example: China's energy use per person rose about 16 times, from about 2,100 kWh in 1965 to 34,500 kWh in 2024, as it built factories, cities and power stations.

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Even as renewables grow, the world still depends on fossil fuels. Some industries cannot yet run without them, and many countries choose the fuels they already have.

The points to remember

  • Fossil fuels are available, cheap and reliable, and the infrastructure (power stations, cars, pipelines) already exists.
  • Steel is made with coal (coke) in blast furnaces.
  • Concrete: cement kilns burn fossil fuels at about 1,450°C.
  • Synthetic fertiliser: ammonia is made from natural gas.
  • Countries seeking economic growth and energy security use the fuels they have: China's coal, US shale gas from fracking.

Steel

  • Coal is baked into coke
  • Coke removes oxygen from iron ore

Concrete

  • Cement kilns burn coal or gas
  • Heating limestone releases CO₂

Fertiliser

  • Ammonia is made from natural gas
  • It feeds about half the world's people
Rising, despite greener values: Support for ecocentric values is growing, through the media, climate disasters, NGOs and education. Yet governments often put cheap, reliable energy and economic growth first, so fossil fuel use keeps rising.

Real example: making the ammonia for synthetic fertiliser uses natural gas as both fuel and raw material; without it, farms could feed only about half of today's population.

There are two ways to meet growing demand, and they work best together: produce energy differently, and use less of it.

The points to remember

  • Meet demand by changing production: more renewables and nuclear in place of fossil fuels.
  • Meet demand by reducing consumption: energy conservation and efficiency (7.2.6).
  • Use is unequal: Canada about 98,000 kWh per person, Ethiopia about 700 (2023).
  • About 685 million people still had no electricity in 2022, most in sub-Saharan Africa.
  • Fairer use means rich countries using less and poor countries using more, cleanly.

Change production

  • Build wind, solar and hydropower
  • Replace coal with lower-carbon sources
  • Store renewable energy (7.2.5)

Reduce consumption

  • Turn off, turn down, travel less
  • Efficient lights, homes and vehicles
  • Waste less in industry (7.2.6)
Can energy use be equitable?: Rich countries use many times more energy per person than poor ones. A fair future means the richest cut waste, while the poorest gain the energy they need for health and work.

Real example: about 685 million people had no electricity at all in 2022, most of them in sub-Saharan Africa (Tracking SDG7, 2024).

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Papers give energy data over time and ask how much it rose, or what the trend is. Learn the two formulas and how to describe a trend.

Calculating and describing change

  • % increase = (new − old) ÷ old × 100.
  • Average annual increase = (last value − first value) ÷ number of years.
  • Count the years between the dates: 2008 to 2019 is 11 years, not 12.
  • Show the working, then the answer with its unit; do not round too early (5.2%, not 5%).
  • A trend needs dates and values: 'rose from 51 TWh in 2017 to 83 TWh in 2022'.
Worked example: World electricity: 24,002 TWh in 2015, 30,930 TWh in 2024. % increase = (30,930 − 24,002) ÷ 24,002 × 100 = 28.9%. Average annual increase = 6,928 ÷ 9 years = 770 TWh per year.
1

Difference

New minus old: the rise.

2

Divide

By the OLD value for %, by the years for a yearly average.

3

Unit

% or TWh per year; keep one decimal place.

Three slips: Dividing by the new value. Counting the years wrongly (2008 to 2019 is 11). Describing a trend with no dates or values.
How this comes up: Paper 1 and Paper 2 (specimen; May 2023; May 2025; May 2026): energy data over time, then a calculation [1-2] and reasons for rising demand [2].
Stacked bars of electricity generated in India, 2010-2024, fossil fuels, nuclear and renewables; totals 936, 1088, 1259, 1395, 1572, 1563, 1805 and 2036 TWh
India, 2010-2024.
IB-style questionSuggest[3 marks]

The figure shows the electricity generated in India between 2010 and 2024.

(a) Calculate the percentage increase in electricity generated between 2014 and 2024.

(b) Suggest two reasons why electricity generation in India has increased.

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Vietnam's electricity generation rose from about 92 TWh in 2010 to about 304 TWh in 2024. The government expects demand to keep rising, even though new buildings must meet energy efficiency standards.

two reasons why energy demand in Vietnam is predicted to keep rising.
[2 marks]

Related ESS Topics

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7.1.1Natural resources
7.1.2Natural capital
7.1.3Natural income
7.1.4Natural capital as a perspective
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