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NotesMath AITopic 4.7Discrete random variables & probability distributions
Back to Math AI Topics
4.7.12 min read

Discrete random variables & probability distributions

IB Mathematics: Applications and Interpretation · Unit 4

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Contents

  1. 1What X means
  2. 2Read a distribution
  3. 3Use a probability formula
  4. 4Exam-style question

What X means

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Probability distributions

What can happen — and how likely is it?: Toss a fair coin once. X counts the heads.
ResultX: number of headsProbability
Tails0
Heads1
Read P(X = 1) as a question: What is the chance of getting 1 head?

Heads is 1 of the 2 equally likely results, so P(X = 1) = 1/2.

A probability distribution is a table like this: it lists every possible number X can be and its chance of happening.

Each chance is from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain). The ∑ sign means add: all the chances together must equal 1.
00.20
10.35
2
30.15

Find a missing probability

Find k in the table.

Step by step

  1. Set the total probability equal to 1.
  2. Add the known probabilities and subtract from 1.

Final answer

k = 0.30, which is between 0 and 1.

Find a probability from the table: X ≥ 2 means X is 2 or 3 here.

Add their chances: 0.30 + 0.15 = 0.45.

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When probabilities come from a formula

Substitute each value of x: Put each possible number into the formula.

For x = 1, replace x with 1: (1 + 1) ÷ 9 = 2/9.
Only x = 1, 2 and 3 are possible.
Substitute
1
2
3

Check the distribution

Is this a valid probability distribution?

Step by step

  1. Each probability is between 0 and 1.
  2. Check that they add to 1.

Final answer

Yes: both probability rules hold.

If the formula contains k: Find each probability in terms of k, then set their sum equal to 1.

Find k in a formula

P(X=x)=kx for x=1,2,3. Find k.

Step by step

  1. Add all three chances.
  2. Solve.

Final answer

k = 1/6.

Exam-style question

X has the probability distribution shown in the table. k is an unknown probability.

x012
P(X = x)0.2k0.3

Try it, then check

(a) Find k. [1]

(b) Find P(X ≥ 1). [2]

Step by step

  1. All chances add to 1.
  2. X ≥ 1 means 1 or 2.

Final answer

k = 0.5; P(X ≥ 1) = 0.8.

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X has the probability distribution shown in the table.

Find P(X ≤ 4).
[2 marks]

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