IB Math AA HL Paper 2 Predicted Questions 2026
The HL topics most likely to appear in the 2026 Paper 2 — backed by frequency analysis across past paper sessions. This is the calculator-active paper: GDC required throughout, so every prediction here is paired with the GDC method that earns the marks.
Stop hoping the right topics come up.
Know exactly what to practise — and the GDC method that scores it.
AA HL Paper 2 is dominated by vectors, continuous random variables, kinematics and first-order differential equations — the four highest-frequency areas on this paper. We drill these alongside regression, the normal distribution and related rates so you walk in knowing exactly which GDC routine each long-answer chain needs.
- High-frequency topic walkthroughs: vectors, continuous random variables, kinematics, differential equations.
- Paper 2 method drills with GDC required — the exact calculator routines tested on exam day.
- Full-mark long-answer chains: separable and integrating-factor DEs, related rates, vectors with lines and planes.
- Frequency-ranked focus so you spend your final revision on what HL Paper 2 actually asks.
Most likely Paper 1 focus areas
Based on frequency analysis across past Math AA HL Paper 2 sessions
- 1Vectors — lines and planes, including intersections, angles and shortest distances (64 question parts since 2021, the largest Paper 2 area)
- 2Continuous random variables — integrate a probability density function, then find the mean, median and variance, often on the GDC (44 question parts)
- 3Kinematics — velocity, acceleration and distance from displacement, including signed area on the GDC (42 question parts)
- 4First-order differential equations — separable or integrating-factor DEs, with Euler's method for numerical approximation (36 question parts)
- 5Bivariate statistics — regression lines and the correlation coefficient r straight from the GDC (29 question parts)
- 6The normal distribution — GDC normalcdf / invNorm probabilities and z-values (28 question parts)
- 7Counting & the binomial theorem — permutations, combinations and expansions (28 question parts)
- 8The binomial distribution — modelling repeated trials on the GDC (23 question parts)
How to use these HL Paper 2 predictions
- 1Prioritise vectors and continuous random variables first — at 64 and 44 question parts they are the two largest areas on AA HL Paper 2 and usually long-answer questions.
- 2Drill kinematics and differential equations together — 42 and 36 question parts, and both are calculus chains the GDC helps with.
- 3Practise every prediction on your GDC — this is the calculator-active paper, so know the exact normalcdf, regression and integral routines cold, plus the Euler's method recursion.
- 4Use the appearance counts to rank your final week: spend the most time on the top topics, keep vectors and related rates warm as near-certain mid-paper questions.
Ready to walk in confident on Math AA HL Paper 2?
Turn these predictions into marks. The crash course walks you through each high-frequency HL topic with full GDC methods and exam-style long-answer chains, so nothing on Paper 2 catches you off guard.
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