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Models

IB Environmental Systems and Societies • Unit 1

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What is a model?

A model is a simplified version of reality.

Models help us understand how a system works and what might happen if conditions change.

They are used because real systems are usually too complex to study in full.

A model is a simplified representation of reality used to understand, explain, or predict a system.

Why do models simplify reality?

Models do not include every detail of the real world.

When creating a model, scientists choose:

  • what information is important
  • what details can be left out

This makes models easier to understand and use, but less accurate than reality.

All models involve a trade-off: simpler models are easier to use but less precise.

Examples of models

The water cycle

[Diagram: water-cycle] - Available in full study mode

Shows evaporation, condensation and precipitation.

A food chain

[Diagram: food-chain] - Available in full study mode

Shows feeding relationships between organisms.

A population graph

[Diagram: population-graph] - Available in full study mode

Shows how population size changes over time.

A climate model

[Diagram: climate-model] - Available in full study mode

Uses data and equations to predict future climate conditions.

None of these models show every detail of the real system.

Types of models

[Model Types Grid] - Available in full study mode

ESS examples

  • Diagram — A food web showing feeding relationships in a coral reef ecosystem.
  • Mathematical — An equation predicting population growth: N = N₀eʳᵗ.
  • Physical — A scale model of a river catchment to study flooding.
  • Computer — A climate simulation predicting temperature rise under different CO₂ scenarios.
  • Written — A text description explaining how deforestation leads to soil erosion and biodiversity loss.

Uses of models

Models help us to:

  • understand complex systems
  • identify key components
  • make predictions
  • test different scenarios
  • communicate ideas
  • recognise patterns
Example: Climate models help predict future temperature rise under different emission scenarios.

Limitations of models

Because models are simplified, they have limitations.

Limitations:

  • They are based on assumptions
  • Important information may be missing
  • Predictions may be inaccurate
  • Results depend on data quality

If assumptions are wrong, conclusions can also be wrong.


Models and values

Models are influenced by:

What scientists think is important, Current knowledge, Human values and priorities

As new knowledge is gained, models must be updated.

Key idea: Models should never be treated as perfect or final.

Models of sustainability

Different models have been used to show the relationship between environment, society, and economy.

[Diagram: sustainability-models] - Available in full study mode


Exam Tips:

  • Always mention simplification when defining models
  • State at least one strength and one limitation
  • Link models to prediction and decision-making
  • Remember: models change as knowledge and values change

Models simplify reality to help us understand and predict systems, but this simplification always causes loss of accuracy.

Key Terms

Component
An individual part of a system.
Emergent property
A property that arises from the interaction of components in a system, not present in the individual parts.
Feedback
When part of a system’s output is used as input, affecting future outputs.
Model
A simplified representation of a system to help understand or predict how it works.
Negative feedback
Feedback that reduces change and helps maintain equilibrium.
Positive feedback
Feedback that increases change and moves a system away from equilibrium.
Process
An action or series of actions that change inputs into outputs in a system.
Resilience
The ability of a system to recover from disturbance.
System
A set of interrelated parts working together to make a complex whole.
Threshold
A point at which a small change causes a large, often irreversible, effect in a system.
Transfer
The movement of energy or matter from one place to another without changing form.

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