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NotesPhilosophy HLTopic 6.1Induction and the scientific method
Back to Philosophy HL Topics
6.1.43 min read

Induction and the scientific method (Philosophy HL)

IB Philosophy • Unit 6

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Contents

  • Two ways of reasoning
  • Hume's problem of induction
  • Living with the problem
  • Paper 1 Section B — a worked essay plan
The big idea: Under every scientific method sits a question about reasoning itself: how do you get from what you've seen to a general law?

There are two very different moves — and science leans hard on the shakier one.

Deduction — safe but tells you nothing new

  • From general rule → to a specific case
  • If the premises are true, the conclusion must be true
  • e.g. all metals expand when heated; this is metal; so it expands

Induction — risky but discovers things

  • From specific cases → to a general rule
  • The conclusion is likely, never guaranteed
  • e.g. every metal I've tested expanded, so ALL metals do

Science runs on induction: it watches particular events and leaps to laws about every case, everywhere, forever. That leap is exactly where the trouble starts.

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The deepest challenge to science's method came from a thinker you've already met.

Hume: the future needn't copy the past: David Hume asked a simple, devastating question. The Sun has risen every day so far — so it'll rise tomorrow. But why should it? The only reason is that the future has always resembled the past. And how do we know THAT? Only because in the past, the future kept resembling it. The argument quietly assumes the very thing it's trying to prove. This is the problem of induction: no matter how many times a pattern has held, nothing guarantees it holds next time.
Checkpoint — the problem of induction: In one line: science leaps from past patterns to universal laws, but nothing can prove the future will keep copying the past — so induction rests on habit, not proof.

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Hume's problem is never fully solved — so philosophers of science learn to work around it.

Go further — higher-level insight: See how Popper's whole theory (from 6.1.2) is a response to Hume. Popper accepts you can never confirm a law by piling up cases — so he throws confirmation out entirely and rebuilds science on falsification, which only ever needs deduction (one counter-example logically kills a law). It's an elegant dodge of Hume's problem. Whether it fully escapes it — real scientists clearly DO rely on past success — is the debate. Naming Popper-as-answer-to-Hume is a top-band move.
Checkpoint — the whole topic: You now hold the whole of 6.1: what science is (demarcation) · Popper's test (falsification) · how science really moves (Kuhn, Feyerabend) · the reasoning underneath (induction and Hume's problem). The essay plan next shows how to turn all of it into marks.
How Section B works: Section B is an essay on one of the optional themes (like Philosophy of science) [25]. You're given a claim or question and must build an argued case — explore more than one view, weigh them, and reach a reasoned conclusion. Every micro in this topic feeds a possible essay. The 5-step method below is the same one you use everywhere.
IB-style questionEvaluate[25 marks]

Evaluate the claim that a theory is scientific only if it could be proven false.

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Common mistakes: 1. Describing views (Popper, Kuhn, Hume) instead of ARGUING with them. 2. Only one view — top bands need tension. 3. No conclusion — decide, with a reason. 4. Name-dropping — a name earns nothing without its argument. 5. Forgetting the claim — keep answering the exact question set.

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Fill the gap: the reasoning that leaps from observed cases to a general law about ALL cases is called ______. [1 mark]

Related Philosophy HL Topics

Continue learning with these related topics from the same unit:

6.1.1What makes something science?
6.1.2Falsification
6.1.3Paradigms and revolutions
6.2.1Can science explain the self?
View all Philosophy HL topics

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