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NotesMath AITopic 4.7Repeated trials & expected outcomes
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4.7.61 min read

Repeated trials & expected outcomes

IB Mathematics: Applications and Interpretation · Unit 4

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Contents

  1. 1Two independent plays
  2. 2Expected number of results
  3. 3Exam-style question

Two independent plays

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Score
00.2
10.5
20.3
Remember both orders: 0 then 2 and 2 then 0 are different possibilities.

Count 1 then 1 only once.

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Expected number of results

Number of trials × probability of the event.

Expected losses

The probability of a loss is 0.25. A game is played 60 times. Find the expected number of losses.

Step by step

  1. Multiply the number of games by the probability of a loss.

Final answer

15 losses are expected; exactly 15 losses are not guaranteed.

Asked for…Use…
Average score or gain
Number of wins or losses

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Exam-style question

Try it, then check

Each play pays €0 or €4, each with probability 1/2. Find the chance of €4 total in two independent plays. In 40 plays, how many zero prizes are expected? [4]

Step by step

  1. Two ways: 0 then 4, or 4 then 0.
  2. Expected count = plays × chance.

Final answer

Chance of €4 total = 1/2. Expected zero prizes = 20.

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In a tournament game, the probability of a loss is 0.28.

A participant plays 75 games.

Find the expected number of losses.
[2 marks]

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