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NotesMath AA HLTopic 4.4Scatter & correlation
Back to Math AA HL Topics
4.4.13 min read

Scatter & correlation (Math AA HL)

IB Mathematics: Analysis and Approaches • Unit 4

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Contents

  • Scatter diagrams & correlation
  • The correlation coefficient r
  • Finding r on the GDC & cautions
Direction and strength of a relationship: A scatter diagram plots paired data.

Describe the correlation by its direction (positive: both rise together; negative: one rises as the other falls) and its strength (strong: points hug a line; weak: loosely scattered).

A scatter diagram shows the trend — positive or negative correlation, and how tightly the points hug the line.

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IB-style question — describe the correlation

On a scatter graph, as the daily temperature rises the number of cold drinks sold rises, and the points lie close to a straight line.

Describe the correlation.

Step by step

  1. Both increase together → direction.
  2. Points close to a line → strength.

Final answer

Strong positive (linear) correlation.

Always say both: A full description names the direction AND the strength — e.g. 'weak negative', 'strong positive'.

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A number from −1 to 1: Pearson's r measures linear correlation: it runs from −1 to 1.

The sign gives the direction; the size gives the strength — near ±1 is strong, near 0 is weak. r = ±1 means the points lie exactly on a line.

IB-style question — interpret r

Two data sets give r = 0.93 and r = −0.21.

Describe the correlation in each case.

Step by step

  1. r = 0.93: positive sign, close to 1.
  2. r = −0.21: negative sign, close to 0.

Final answer

r = 0.93 → strong positive; r = −0.21 → weak negative.

Sign = direction, size = strength: Read r in two parts: the +/− tells direction, and how close |r| is to 1 tells strength.

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LinReg gives r — but correlation is not cause: On Paper 2 you read r from the calculator's linear-regression output.

Two cautions: a strong r does not prove one variable causes the other, and r only measures a linear pattern (a strong curve can give a small r).

IB-style question — find and interpret r

Hours studied x and test score y for five students are (1,40), (2,50), (3,55), (4,70), (5,80).

Find r and describe the correlation.

Step by step

  1. Enter the pairs and run linear regression.
  2. Interpret the value.

Final answer

r ≈ 0.990 — a very strong positive correlation between hours studied and score.

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For ten pairs of values, a calculator gives r = 0.86. the correlation. [2 marks]

Related Math AA HL Topics

Continue learning with these related topics from the same unit:

4.1.1Populations & samples
4.1.2Sampling techniques
4.10.1Prediction
4.11.1Conditional probability
View all Math AA HL topics

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4.3.4Standard deviation
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Regression line4.4.2

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